Tariff uncertainty – Quantifying best- and worst-case trade wars and other global risk scenarios

Amid heightened uncertainty over the outlook for trade tariffs, our latest global scenarios webinar seeks to shed light on the risks to the world economy. We explore the best- and worst-case trade war outcomes, drawing on key insights from our modelling of these risks in the Q2 Global Scenarios Service. We also highlight the key results from our latest Global Risk Surveys, including evidence on the immediate – and marked – business reaction to the ‘liberation day’ tariff announcements.

Register to Access the Webinar On-Demand: This webinar will be available to watch on-demand via our new platform, ON24. We encourage you to register even if you are unable to attend the live session. All registrants will receive a link to access the recording shortly after the event.

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Jamie Thompson

Head of Macro Scenarios

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Jamie Thompson

Head of Macro Scenarios

London, United Kingdom

Jamie is Head of Macro Scenarios. He leads the production of macro-economic scenarios for the Global Scenario Service and is responsible for identifying and writing about key risks to the global economy.

Jamie joined Oxford Economics from the Bank of England, where he worked for 17 years on a range of monetary and financial stability issues to support both the Monetary Policy Committee and the Financial Policy Committee. Most recently, Editor of the Bank’s Financial Stability Report and Financial Stability Papers series, Jamie has written and edited extensively for the Bank’s flagship publications, including the Inflation Report.

Tobias Soetjianto

Placement Student | Scenarios and Macro Modelling

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Tobias Soetjianto

Placement Student | Scenarios and Macro Modelling

Tobias Soetjianto is an Assistant Economist within the Macro Scenarios and Modelling team based in London. He is currently undergoing a placement year at Oxford Economics and a bachelor’s degree in economics with econometrics from the University of Exeter.