Global Industry Model
Industry scenario modelling for stress testing, scenario planning, and climate analysis.
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Overview
Industries and supply chains are increasingly exposed to macroeconomic shocks, policy interventions, and structural change, such as the energy transition and AI adoption. Quantifying how these forces propagate through industries is essential for stress testing, strategic planning, and portfolio analysis.
The Global Industry Model translates macroeconomic and climate scenarios into detailed industry-level outcomes, enabling you to assess how different changes affect sector performance across countries within a consistent, transparent framework.
Key features
- Comprehensive coverage. Our forecasts span over 100 sectors across 77 countries, covering key indicators such as sector GDP, sales, operating expenditure, capital expenditure, and profits. This breadth of coverage enables reliable and comparable analysis of sector performance and prospects across different regions and markets.
- Energy demand and carbon emissions. Track energy use by fuel type and CO₂ emissions across 49 countries and over 25 sectors, supporting regulatory climate stress testing and reporting. This allows you to assess the implications of alternative energy transition pathways and evaluate how decarbonisation pressures could affect costs, supply chains, and industry output.
- Intuitive industry modelling software. Compare scenario results and export outputs through an interactive interface. Visualise results through charts, heat maps, and/or dashboards.
- Flexible delivery. Access the model through a secure online platform or desktop program file. Results can be exported via Excel plug-in or APIs to integrate with your existing workflows, supporting automated modelling and data analysis.
- Expert support. In-house training from our industry economists helps users understand the model structure and how to apply it effectively.
Our methodology
Our Global Industry Model is a top-down industry model that translates macroeconomic conditions into industry-level outcomes through a transparent, economically grounded framework.
Demand mapping
Cost structure and substitution
Competitiveness
Together, these mechanisms inform forecasts of industry output and gross value added (GVA), ensuring consistent results across countries and sectors.
Benefits
The Global Industry Model is fully integrated with Oxford Economics’ Global Economic Model, ensuring that industry forecasts remain consistent with underlying economic and climate assumptions.
- Ensure regulatory compliance. Assess transition and physical risks across portfolios and conduct stress tests and climate scenario reporting in line with the requirements of regulatory bodies, such as the ECB and Bank of England.
- Gain robust portfolio insights. Evaluate revenues and sector performance under multiple scenarios in a structured way to inform investment and portfolio decisions.
- Mitigate risks proactively. Run bespoke ‘what if’ scenarios and quantify how different macroeconomic, policy, or structural changes could affect your sector, enabling proactive strategic planning and risk management.
- Capture the latest economic and sector developments. Ensure all scenarios and forecasts reflect current conditions by integrating the latest production data, macro trends, and corporate and regulatory updates, capturing how shocks and policy changes reverberate across sectors and countries.
- Work efficiently with intuitive tools. Use our easy-to-navigate software to build scenarios, export data, and visualise results as charts, heat maps, and/or dashboards. Designed to make complex analysis simple, our model delivers fast, actionable insights.
Why Oxford Economics
An independent assessment by the World Bank identified the Oxford Economics Global Economic Model (OEM) as a superior tool for forecasting commodity prices.
Proven modelling expertise
Over four decades of global and industry modelling trusted by financial institutions, policymakers, and regulators worldwide.
Stand up to scrutiny
Transparent model structure and documented methodology support internal validation and regulatory review.
End-to-end macro-to-industry modelling
Our industry model is fully integrated with our Global Economic Model, allowing economic and climate assumptions to be translated seamlessly into sector-level outcomes.
Latest insights
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MAR 12 2026 -
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Testimonials
“We are very satisfied with Oxford Economics’ services, as they provide us with highly customizable structural models (GEM, GIM and “European Cities and Regions”) that enable us to build our own forecast scenarios on a robust baseline and seamlessly integrate our views across multiple variables and countries. We also acknowledge the support and expertise of your country economists for Italy.”
“We’ve been long-time subscribers of Oxford Economics’ macroeconomic services, which we use regularly as part of our global and sectoral analysis and forecasting toolkit. Their team consistently delivers high-quality, structured insights across major economies and long-term structural themes, which we find particularly valuable for both internal planning and strategic discussions.
Beyond the content, we’ve always appreciated the interaction with their analysts and the responsiveness of the commercial team, who understand our needs and make the most of the collaboration.”
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