Research Briefing | Sep 5, 2022

Working hours decline despite rising labour participation in Japan

Japan Working hours decline despite rising labour participationJapan’s labour force has increased due to rising labour participation by females and seniors, despite a decline in the working-age population. However, hours worked per capita have been on a downward trend, increasingly weighing on GDP and household incomes.

What you will learn:

  • Most females and seniors work part-time and their average working hours have been declining. In addition, the working hours of full-time employees have also started to decline in recent years due to the legislation to restore a better work-life balance.
  • More part-time workers with shorter working hours have depressed economic growth from the supply side through a decline in labour input and stagnation in productivity. A higher proportion of low-paid workers have also dragged down household incomes and domestic demand.
  • When discussing the long-term macroeconomic implications of ageing, we need to consider not only labour participation but also the working style of an aging society, especially working hours per worker.
Tags: DemographicsEconomic outlookJapanLabour markets
Back to Resource Hub

Related posts

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP in FY2026-FY2028 – we still see the deficit only starting to decline from FY2029. We also keep our view that the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield will be at 2.3% at end-2026 and 2.5% at end-2027 and beyond.
BoJ will need to do more because of fiscal expansion

BoJ will need to do more because of fiscal expansion

In our upcoming February forecast update, we'll stick to our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP in FY2026 and FY2027, but now think it will remain at that level in FY2028, only starting to gradually decline in FY2029 and beyond.
Japan faces further BoJ rate hikes—but how much?

Japan faces further BoJ rate hikes—but how much?

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.75% at its January meeting. Although our current baseline expects a final rate hike to 1% in mid-2026, the bank could move earlier if the yen weakens further.