Research Briefing | Apr 9, 2021

Africa | Complacency over Cabo Delgado costing State dearly

Copy of Copy of Copy of Ipad Frame (21)

After attacks on Palma in northern Mozambique in which dozens of civilians, including a South African and a Briton, lost their lives, Total pulled all its local staff out of northern Mozambique and suspended work on its onshore installations. The resulting delays will affect Mozambican government finances, and make it more urgent for Maputo to call on foreign friends for help.

What you will learn :

  • This Research Briefing analyses the implications of the recent jihadist attacks in northern Mozambique for security in the area and for investment decisions by energy multinationals.
  • Maputo has a choice to make between jealously guarding its sovereignty and effectively addressing the insurgency with foreign help.
  • That choice will affect investment decisions by energy companies like Total, and delays on investment timelines will further stress government finances.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

US bill next to calculator which says recession

Post

US-China relations improve, yet industrial recession remains likely

For the first time this year, our global industrial production outlook for 2025 has been upgraded. However, we still anticipate an industrial recession in Q2 and Q3.

Find Out More
Industry is performing worse than the broader economy globally

Post

Positive tariff news does little to dispel overall uncertainty

We've nudged up our world GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 0.1ppt to 2.4%, in part to reflect the temporary but substantial reduction in tariffs between the US and China.

Find Out More