Research Briefing

MENA | Kuwait is struggling to balance a fine fiscal line

 Kuwait is struggling to balance a fine fiscal line

In line with trends seen across the GCC, the twin shock of the coronavirus
pandemic and low oil prices has put extra pressure on an already strained
government balance sheet in Kuwait. The budget deficit in 2020 is estimated at almost 29% of GDP, with oil receipts (almost 90% of revenues) plummeting by over 32%.

What you will learn from this report:

  • In the short term, the government will struggle to tackle the looming liquidity crisis. For the medium term, a comprehensive set of reforms is needed to tackle fiscal sustainability.
  • A political stalemate between government and the elected parliament continues to halt progress on both reform and short-term solutions covering the budget deficit, with delays in fiscal adjustment adding to financing needs and leading to rapid depletion of the General Reserve Fund (GRF).
  • Revenues in Kuwait remain heavily dominated by the oil sector, accounting for around 90% of overall revenues in 2019.
Tags: Covid19MENAOil pricesPandemic
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP in FY2026-FY2028 – we still see the deficit only starting to decline from FY2029. We also keep our view that the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield will be at 2.3% at end-2026 and 2.5% at end-2027 and beyond.
US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

Upward revisions to US and Chinese GDP growth in Q4 meant that the previously anticipated soft end to 2025 failed to materialise.