Research Briefing | Aug 25, 2021

South Korea | Rising trade momentum bodes well for growth

South Korea | Rising trade momentum bodes well for growth

South Korea’s trade has remained resilient despite rising global Covid cases, with export and import momentum gaining further traction. We expect exports will be supported by strong imports from advanced economies, memory chip demand, and seasonal demand for certain key items, which will help cushion near-term headwinds from softer regional demand and Covid-related supply disruptions. Rising vaccination rates could allow domestic restrictions to ease in Q4, which will also provide impetus for import growth.

What you will learn:

  • Sustained gains were seen across major export items, such as semiconductors, automobiles, and petroleum products.
  • We expect strong import demand from advanced economies will continue to underpin South Korean exports through the rest of the year, as restrictions there have eased, and consumer confidence is holding up.
  • Semiconductor exports will also remain firm, driven mainly by sustained demand for memory chips to be used in servers, PCs, and mobiles.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

US bill next to calculator which says recession

Post

US-China relations improve, yet industrial recession remains likely

For the first time this year, our global industrial production outlook for 2025 has been upgraded. However, we still anticipate an industrial recession in Q2 and Q3.

Find Out More
Industry is performing worse than the broader economy globally

Post

Positive tariff news does little to dispel overall uncertainty

We've nudged up our world GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 0.1ppt to 2.4%, in part to reflect the temporary but substantial reduction in tariffs between the US and China.

Find Out More