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We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
How well will the global economy weather the tariff storm?

with Ben May and Kiki Sondh | Online | May 21, 2025

In this webinar, we outline some of the recent changes to our global economic forecasts, assess the extent to which the timely economic data looks consistent with that view and focus in on some of the key risks and uncertainties surrounding our baseline forecasts.

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Webinar
City Tourism Rankings – New Records and New Challenges

with Emma Laverty, Helen McDermott and Kieran Ferran | Online | May 20, 2025

As we are looking ahead to continued travel growth, the composition of travel demand is evolving. City travel has surpassed pre-pandemic levels and is converging on longer-run trend growth rates. However, there are some significant shifts in activity and preferences within the total while uncertain tariff policies are also weighing on city tourism. In this webinar we assess our latest global city travel forecast update, how our city tourism rankings have changed, the regional opportunities for tourism growth and the impact of the latest US tariff policies.

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Webinar
Mapping China’s tariff pain to relative gains for other emerging economies.

with Louise Loo and Gabriel Sterne | Online | May 19, 2025

Trade wars are costly for everyone, but there are clear relative losers and winners. Tariffs will cripple US-China trade, and we expect China's goods trade surplus to shrink but only to a still substantial 3.2% of GDP this year and remain significant in the medium term owing to trade diversification, shifts up the export value chain, and the reduced import intensity of Chinese demand. Ironically, other than China, the relative winners list includes the very countries Trump targeted most heavily in his April 2 tariff regime: Vietnam, Cambodia, Malaysia, Pakistan, and the Philippines

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Webinar
Economic uncertainty leading to a steep drop in US industry

with Matthew Martin and Nico Palesch | Online | May 15, 2025

The US saw the largest forecast downgrade in our most recent industrial update. Policy uncertainty and financial market volatility are expected to weigh heavily on business investment, particularly in equipment and structures. In addition, the tariffs are expected to lead to a sharp increase in goods prices and import costs for US manufacturers. In the Webinar, Matthew Martin and Nico Palesch discuss the latest US macroeconomic forecast and the impact on US industry, tech, and construction.

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Webinar
The state of cruising: clear or unclear waters?

with Christian Savelli and Sean Morgan | Online | May 14, 2025

Join our inhouse cruise experts to hear the latest results from our regular Cruise Trends Survey, a comprehensive survey among cruisers from key cruise markets, including the United States and the UK. How is the industry performing against customer expectations, what cruise regions are most sought after, and how are consumer preferences evolving in this rapidly changing and fast-growing sector? These are just a few of the findings we’ll explore in this deep dive into the global cruise industry which provides a wealth of insights to understand the sector from important perspectives, empowering critical understanding for cruise developments.

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Webinar
LatAm será resiliente ante la desaceleración del comercio global

with Debora Reyna Garcia and Mauricio Monge | Online | May 9, 2025

La mayoría de los países latinoamericanos enfrentarán impactos arancelarios directos muy limitados, dada su menor dependencia de las exportaciones hacia EE. UU. y las exclusiones que benefician a las principales materias primas exportadas por la región. Sin embargo, posibles efectos de segundo orden, como la caída en los precios de algunas materias primas y la respuesta de China, moldearán las consecuencias. Por el momento, esperamos que la resiliencia de la demanda interna compense parcialmente la desaceleración del comercio global, con la excepción de México, donde se sentirá con mayor intensidad el impacto de la guerra comercial. Consideramos que los riesgos para la inflación derivados de la guerra comercial ahora están más equilibrados que hace unos meses.

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Webinar
US tariff hikes to cause global industrial recession

with Abby Samp and Max Anderson | Online | May 8, 2025

The significant escalation in US tariffs since early April is set to generate a shallow recession in global industry. The tariffs and surrounding economic uncertainty are set to weigh disproportionately on manufacturing activity. In this Webinar, Max Anderson and Abby Samp will explore the latest Global Industry Forecast update and the risk factors that leave a sector vulnerable to US-imposed tariffs.

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Webinar
Trump 2.0: Global Trade, Tariffs & Economic Shifts

with Innes McFee, Ben May, Geoffroy Dolphin, Jeremy Leonard, Scott McEwan and Tony Stillo | Online | May 7, 2025

In part two, of our Trump 2.0 webinar series, we explore the international consequences of President Trump’s return to power. With initial tariffs far exceeding expectations, we will discuss renewed tariff tensions, shifting alliances, supply chain disruptions and global market uncertainty. We will examine how the first 100 days have shaped the global economic landscape — and what the ripple effects may be in the months to come. We’ll focus on cross-border trade, sector-level impact, climate and the evolving role of the US to its neighbours and globally.

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Webinar
Trump 2.0: US Economy & Policy Shifts

with Ryan Sweet, Adam Sacks, Barbara Byrne Denham, Michael Pearce and Nico Palesch | Online | May 6, 2025

In the first session of our Trump 2.0 series, we turn our attention to the domestic landscape. We unpack how Trump’s early policy actions — from fiscal shifts and labour market interventions to immigration and industry-specific changes — are affecting the U.S. economy, and how tariff policies will impact local markets. We assess the immediate and longer-term consequences for states, cities, sectors, and tourism, and consider what lies ahead as the administration’s agenda takes shape.

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Webinar
LatAm got it easy in Trump’s tariffs, but pressure on Mexico continues

with Joan Domene and Tim Hunter | Online | April 29, 2025

We will examine what US tariffs mean for the region. Most Latin American countries face lower direct trade disruptions than Asian and European competitors from President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. Lower dependence on US trade and tariff exclusions will limit direct impacts, but second round effects, lower commodity prices and China’s response will shape the fallout for the region. Mexico’s especially conciliatory stance has not yet yielded substantial concessions and downside risks to our outlook grow as Trump doubles down on attacks to its closest trade partner.

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Webinar
25% auto tariffs especially painful in Japan and South Korea

with Makoto Tsuchiya and Toby Whittington | Online | April 25, 2025

US tariffs of 25% on all automobile and auto parts will weigh heavily on the Japanese and South Korean automotive sectors. The US is the biggest automotive export destination for Japan and South Korea, with exports to the country accounting for over a fifth of sales in South Korea and 7% in Japan. Additionally, tariffs will hit shipments via third countries such as Mexico, consequently hitting domestic auto parts production. In this webinar, we will discuss how much auto production will be hit in Japan and South Korea and through which channels.

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Webinar
Nordics: Growth weighed by international policy uncertainty

with Rory Fennessy, Gustav Hummel and Nico Palesch | Online | April 24, 2025

Economic activity has firmed up recently, but inflation surprised on the upside in early 2025 and the international policy environment is more uncertain. In this webinar, we will unpack the drivers of our near-term macro, industry, and cities outlook for the Nordic economies.

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Webinar
Asia reacts to US tariffs

with Arup Raha | Online | April 24, 2025

We draw the implications of tariffs for Asian economies, in particular how the movement in financial markets may affect real economic outcomes.

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Webinar
Slow and Constrained – lower ambition, higher risk

with Beatrice Tanjangco, Samuel Holguera and Geoffroy Dolphin | Online | April 23, 2025

The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of six climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the implications of climate change and trade-offs of climate mitigation. This webinar will cover our latest research on NDC ambition, the current NDC implementation gap, and the issue of policy credibility. In line with the fading enthusiasm for climate policy, we will discuss our latest low-ambition transition scenario, ‘Slow and Constrained’.

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Webinar
トランプ関税下の世界経済：経済モデルを用いたシナリオ分析

with Norihiro Yamaguchi | Online | April 23, 2025

今次ウェビナーの前半では、トランプ関税下、最新の世界および日本経済見通しを説明します。当社では、一連の関税の発表を受け、米国の2025年の成長率見通しを従来の2.0％から1.2％へと大幅に下方修正、日本経済についても、今後、2026年前半までゼロ成長を強いられるという見通しに変更しました。内外経済・物価の先行き不透明感が増すなか、日銀は利上げサイクルを一時停止し、次回の利上げは2027年にずれ込むと予想します。 　後半では、各国の関税政策をめぐる不確実性の高さを踏まえ、当社マクロ経済モデルを用いたシナリオ分析を紹介します。実際にモデル上の「関税レバー」を操作し、「相互関税」の復活や、グローバルな関税の応酬激化を想定した場合の世界経済・金融市場・コモディティ市場への影響を、波及経路を確認しながら検討します。

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