Research Briefing | Nov 17, 2021

Finland | Q3 GDP growth in line with our expectation

Ipad Frame - Finland-Q3-GDP-growth-in-line-with-our-expectation

Finland’s GDP rose 0.9% in Q3 based on the flash estimate, in line with our forecast. High-frequency indicators show that the economy remains resilient amid mounting downside risks related to supply-chain bottlenecks and surging energy prices.

What you will learn:

  • Virus transmission remains contained even after all restrictions were lifted, as almost 85% of adults are fully vaccinated.
  • We expect solid growth in the near term; our forecast for GDP growth this year is 3.5% before a slowdown to 2.3% in 2022, both the same as last month.
  • Consumer confidence in October moderated from the multi-year high in September, when all pandemic restrictions were lifted.

Tags: ConsumerConsumptionCoronavirusCoronavirus vaccineCountry Economic ForecastCovid19EmploymentEnergy pricesEuropeExportsFinlandForecastsGDPImportsInflationNordicRecoverySupply and demandSupply chain
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP in FY2026-FY2028 – we still see the deficit only starting to decline from FY2029. We also keep our view that the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield will be at 2.3% at end-2026 and 2.5% at end-2027 and beyond.
US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

Upward revisions to US and Chinese GDP growth in Q4 meant that the previously anticipated soft end to 2025 failed to materialise.