Recent Release | 13 Mar 2023
Illicit Tobacco Consumption in Türkiye

Macro Consulting Team
Oxford Economics

This report establishes independent and robust estimates of the scale and incidence of illicit tobacco consumption in Türkiye, covering both cigarettes and cut tobacco.
This report examines the size of the illicit tobacco market in Türkiye as well as and the impact it has on government tax revenue.
Commissioned by Philip Morris International, this report particularly highlights the rising prevalence of cut tobacco, whose consumption almost doubled between 2019 and 2021.
Total tax loss due to illicit consumption of tobacco products reached TL 18,327mn in 2021, doubling from TL 9,744mn in 2019. Illicit cut tobacco accounted for 86.4-95.9% of annual tax loss during this period.
The experts behind the research
David and Thang, members of the Macro Consulting team, are world leaders in quantitative economic analysis and original, evidence-based research, working with clients around the globe and across sectors to build models, forecast markets, run extensive surveys, and evaluate interventions using state-of-the art techniques.

David Moore
Lead Economist, Macro Consulting

Thang Nguyen
Lead Economist, Macro Consulting
You might be interested in

Impacts of the proposed Los Angeles fast food ordinance
Save Local Restaurants commissioned Oxford Economics to calculate high-level cost estimates relating to a proposed city ordinance that would impose new requirements on quick-service restaurant operators in Los Angeles.
Find Out More
Catalyzing Africa’s Sustainable Transition: Insights to Impact a Climate-Resilient Future
Sustainable finance is not merely a climate imperative but a development necessity. As climate risks intensify, Africa must urgently mobilise capital to advance its adaptation, mitigation, and development goals. Realising this ambition will require coordinated action across governments, financial institutions, international partners, multilateral agencies, and the private sector. With bold leadership, innovative tools, and supportive ecosystems, the continent can chart a path toward a more inclusive, resilient, and sustainable global economy.
Find Out More
The economic impact of Project Kuiper’s launch partnerships in the EU
The report assesses the economic impact of Project Kuiper's launch partnerships in the EU.
Find Out More
Election result delivers some welcome certainty in Australia
The past month has been relatively quiet compared to the flurry of activity following the 'liberation day' tariff announcements in the US.
Find Out More