Introducing our US immigration tracker

We created a real-time tracker of unauthorized migrants to the US, the driving force behind the nation’s post-pandemic immigration surge. New undocumented migrants in the US will total 2.3mn this year, nearly 1mn lower than in 2023.

What you will learn:

• The Congressional Budget Office’s update to its demographic projections garnered much attention, predicting net immigration would come to 3.3mn in 2024 and 2.6mn in 2025.
• Our immigration tracker suggests those may be too high because of stricter asylum rules, projecting that it will likely end up closer to 2.5mn this year and 2.1mn next year.
• Our bottom-up approach in tracking immigration to the US will help us analyze post-election changes to immigration policy, and understand the real-time data, mainly on the labor market.