Research Briefing | Nov 26, 2021

Global | Real estate is not a hedge for this type of inflation

Real estate is not a hedge for this type of inflation

The received wisdom that real estate is a good inflation hedge is an oversimplification. This is revealed by our two plausible high inflation scenarios for the year ahead utilising the recent integration of real estate markets into the Global Economic Model.

What you will learn:

  • Our baseline sees inflation as partly relative demand driven and so real estate returns are set to bounce back in 2022, as activity and employment are important short-term drivers.
  • Our analysis demonstrates that real estate is a good hedge against further demand driven inflation, but not against the cost push inflation that it is arguably the bigger threat today.
Tags: CoronavirusEconomic recoveryGlobal economic recoveryReal Estate
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP in FY2026-FY2028 – we still see the deficit only starting to decline from FY2029. We also keep our view that the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield will be at 2.3% at end-2026 and 2.5% at end-2027 and beyond.
US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

Upward revisions to US and Chinese GDP growth in Q4 meant that the previously anticipated soft end to 2025 failed to materialise.