Research Briefing | Aug 17, 2021

Australia | Recovery tracker falters under weight of lockdowns

Recoverytracker1708

Our recovery tracker has taken a step down due to the Greater Sydney lockdown and snap lockdowns in other capital cities and regions. The tracker had risen above its pre-pandemic level, boosted by the strength in the labour market. But is has now fallen below its pre-pandemic level.

Download this comprehensive report to learn:

  • Lockdown stringency measures are near their highest level, despite lower case numbers; state governments are being even more proactive in preventing outbreaks of the Delta variant. In contrast, the growth in payroll jobs and the stock market since early 2020 are boosting our recovery tracker.
  • We have combined information from a disparate set of sources to gauge the economy’s recovery momentum. The recent spread of the delta variant has led to lockdowns, that present another hurdle to a full recovery.
  • Official figures take a considerable time to quantify the scale of disruption the economy faces. To supplement this, we are monitoring a range of high frequency indicators. 
Tags: AustraliaCoronavirusCoronavirus vaccineRecoveryVaccines
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP in FY2026-FY2028 – we still see the deficit only starting to decline from FY2029. We also keep our view that the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield will be at 2.3% at end-2026 and 2.5% at end-2027 and beyond.
US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

Upward revisions to US and Chinese GDP growth in Q4 meant that the previously anticipated soft end to 2025 failed to materialise.