Research Briefing | May 13, 2021

LATAM | Recovery Tracker improves as third wave slows

Recovery Tracker improves as third wave slows - iPad

Our Latin America Recovery Tracker (LART) improved by 0.9pts during the week ending May 7. Although less than the revised 2.1pts jump a week prior, it takes the tally of gains to five weeks. Gains were registered everywhere, except Colombia and Argentina.

What you will learn:

  • Brazil and Mexico lead the race to return to pre-pandemic activity levels. Argentina lost third place to Colombia this week due to a larger weekly drop. Peru’s recovery remains slow, so it could slip to last place soon as we expect Chile’s vaccine-led recovery to gain momentum.
  • Targeted restrictions continue across most of LatAm, but governments are easing limitations as a third wave of infections slows.
  • Chile and Peru also continued to lift containment measures. Conversely, Argentina and Colombia extended restrictions as death rates continue to rise. Mobility in these two countries fell as a result.

Tags: CoronavirusLatin AmericaLockdown restrictionsMacroRecovery TrackerVaccines
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP in FY2026-FY2028 – we still see the deficit only starting to decline from FY2029. We also keep our view that the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield will be at 2.3% at end-2026 and 2.5% at end-2027 and beyond.
US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

Upward revisions to US and Chinese GDP growth in Q4 meant that the previously anticipated soft end to 2025 failed to materialise.