Research Briefing
| May 6, 2024
South Africa: Elections 2024 | ‘ANC & EFF’ election scenario
This briefing sets out the second of our four scenarios for South Africa’s general election: the ANC wins only 40% of the vote and makes a coalition deal with the radical leftists of the EFF.
What you will learn:
- In exchange for other positions, the EFF backs President Cyril Ramaphosa for another term
- The EFF leaves most governance to the ANC, but prioritises a few policies that involve job creation through the state
- The effects on the economy are felt through an adverse market reaction and weaker fiscal metrics



