Research Briefing
| Apr 1, 2021
UK | House price inflation may soon be running on empty
The unexpected resilience of house prices last year sets 2021 up to be another year of rising values. But unsupportive macro factors and the end of the stamp duty holiday lead us to suspect some correction may not be long in coming.
What you will learn :
- Base effects and government support mean we expect 2021 to be another year of house price inflation.
- Measures announced in March’s Budget should boost housing demand in the short term.
- But higher unemployment, falling household incomes, and inaction at the BoE present contrary forces.
Tags:
Related Services

Post
US-China relations improve, yet industrial recession remains likely
For the first time this year, our global industrial production outlook for 2025 has been upgraded. However, we still anticipate an industrial recession in Q2 and Q3.
Find Out More
Post
Positive tariff news does little to dispel overall uncertainty
We've nudged up our world GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 0.1ppt to 2.4%, in part to reflect the temporary but substantial reduction in tariffs between the US and China.
Find Out More