Research Briefing
| Aug 18, 2022
Understanding Africa’s climate risks
We have expanded our climate transmission channels on the Global Economic Model to include more sub-Saharan African economies. Through scenario analysis, we can better understand the climate risks faced by Botswana, Ghana, Kenya, Mauritius, Mozambique, Nigeria, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia.
What you will learn:
- Africa faces disproportionately large physical risks from climate change, despite emitting less than 3% of cumulative global emissions.
- Most African countries are well above the estimated optimal temperature of 15°C, according to our analysis; any further warming means those countries will experience poorer productivity performance.


