Research Briefing | Jan 26, 2022

Why Japan’s supplementary budget flatters to deceive

Why the supplementary budget flatters to deceive - iPad

Japan’s parliament has approved the latest supplementary budget, which includes the second-largest expenditure package in its history. But while the size of the budget has skyrocketed to cope with the effects of the pandemic, it’s not only the budget size that is key when assessing its impact on the economy.

What you will learn:

  • Although the budget has expanded rapidly, slow deployment of the additional funding has increasingly become a drawback. Data for fiscal 2020 reveals that of the ¥176 trillion annual budget, ¥31 trillion was unspent. 
  • A closer look at specific measures in the supplementary budget also shows that any additional short-term boost to the economy will be limited.
  • Half of the budget is compensation and support for damaged firms and households through cash benefits and grants. And while long-term growth measures are a sizeable chunk of the budget, their impact will only be felt over the long term.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

US bill next to calculator which says recession

Post

US-China relations improve, yet industrial recession remains likely

For the first time this year, our global industrial production outlook for 2025 has been upgraded. However, we still anticipate an industrial recession in Q2 and Q3.

Find Out More
Industry is performing worse than the broader economy globally

Post

Positive tariff news does little to dispel overall uncertainty

We've nudged up our world GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 0.1ppt to 2.4%, in part to reflect the temporary but substantial reduction in tariffs between the US and China.

Find Out More