Industry Climate Service
Assess the impacts of climate change and mitigation policies for more than 100 sectors.
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Overview
Amid the fragmented global energy transition, the key question for decision-makers is no longer whether change is coming, but how climate risks and divergent transition policies will reshape industries and their supply chains.
Our Industry Climate Service is the only commercially available service that combines climate scenarios for more than 100 sectors with forecasts of sectoral output and energy use. Built on transparent, model-backed analysis, it enables robust climate stress testing, risk assessment, and long-term strategic planning.
What’s included?
Powered by our integrated global economic and industry modelling framework, the service allows you to quantify the impacts of climate change and mitigation policies on output and energy use across your sector and the wider value chain.
Industry climate scenarios
- Climate scenario forecasts: Five climate scenario forecasts for over 100 sectors across 49 countries. These include proprietary scenarios and those aligned with the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS), featuring both short-term forecasts to 2030 and long-term projections to 2060, capturing both physical and transition risks.
- Industry baseline forecasts: Baseline forecasts for over 100 sectors across 49 countries, including output, energy demand, and CO₂ emissions. These provide a robust benchmark against which climate scenario impacts can be assessed.
Industry climate research
- Chartbook. Quarterly summaries of the latest climate research, scenario assumptions, and key findings. The chartbook provides a clear overview of the expected impacts of climate change and mitigation policies on industrial sectors, helping you stay informed on emerging trends.
- Research Briefing. Thematic research exploring key climate-related topics, including industrial de-carbonisation, electricity markets, and evolving policy developments and their sectoral implications.
Benefits
- Inform your climate strategy with model-backed insights. Quantify how physical and transition risks could affect growth prospects, output, and sales trends across more than 100 sectors.
- Support climate stress testing and reporting. Leverage model-backed sector scenario forecasts to enhance climate stress testing, risk assessment, and reporting, while ensuring alignment with international frameworks such as the NGFS.
- Unlock resilience across your value chain. Assess exposure to climate risks not only in your own sector, but also across upstream suppliers and downstream customers. Identify pressure points, shifts in demand, and transition risks across your supply chain under different possible climate paths.
- Identify strategic winners and losers. Compare sector performance across climate scenarios to understand where risks are concentrated and where opportunities may emerge, informing investment decisions and long-term strategic planning.
We continuously maintain and enhance our climate modelling and client offering, ensuring consistency, control, and analytical credibility.
Why Oxford Economics
Our Global Industry Service stands apart through its unique integration of macroeconomic and industrial modelling. This infrastructure allows us not only to track your sector, but to understand the value chains that shape it.
Quantitative rigour you can trust
Our climate scenarios and forecasts are generated using the Global Economic Model and Global Industry Model, which simulate the complex interactions between climate, energy systems, the economy, and industrial activity, delivering a clear and accurate picture of climate change impacts.
Full transparency, no black boxes
Our modelling approach, assumptions, and data sources are fully documented and open to scrutiny. This transparency supports regulatory engagement, internal governance, and robust stress testing.
Up-to-date forecasts
The service is continuously updated to reflect the latest Oxford Economics forecasts and real-world developments, ensuring that your analysis remains relevant and timely.
A value chain perspective on climate risk
With our extensive coverage of more than 100 sectors, we show how climate risks and transition dynamics ripple through supply chains and end markets, giving you a comprehensive view of climate exposure across the industrial ecosystem.
Latest insights
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Testimonials
Oxford Economics has added real value to our long-term forecasting at Heathrow Airport. The scenario-based approach helps us explore a range of possible futures, giving us deeper insight into how climate transition could impact our market and business. and the available datasets have strengthened our ability to make informed, data-driven decisions. The regular updates and horizon scanning reports are also especially helpful in keeping us ahead of emerging trends and shifts we need to be aware of.
Request a free trial
Complete the form and we will contact you to set up your free trial. Please note that trials are only available for qualified users.
We are committed to protecting your right to privacy and ensuring the privacy and security of your personal information. We will not share your personal information with other individuals or organisations without your permission.
